Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.095469 3.603449 4.181396 4.890297 5.740010 6.730233 7.978064
2025-02-09 2.407597 3.079518 3.931567 5.103419 6.692110 8.798158 11.847012
2025-02-16 2.011975 2.735083 3.719492 5.181417 7.338454 10.470225 15.485594
2025-02-23 1.754547 2.503605 3.583155 5.290219 7.992900 12.232099 19.644184
2025-03-02 1.524994 2.263657 3.379187 5.237742 8.360896 13.596054 23.483055
2025-03-09 1.375973 2.116340 3.282834 5.321739 8.943177 15.406596 28.553359
2025-03-16 1.229304 1.949043 3.125089 5.268151 9.264777 16.808446 33.221867
2025-03-23 1.112869 1.813878 2.998126 5.240860 9.618330 18.330357 38.555324
2025-03-30 1.002539 1.674255 2.842925 5.133494 9.791661 19.521050 43.504920
2025-04-06 0.935877 1.601876 2.795826 5.219885 10.363706 21.665360 51.362746
2025-04-13 0.850266 1.485314 2.652496 5.093282 10.462403 22.781237 56.997533
2025-04-20 0.817322 1.461545 2.680062 5.317152 11.367966 25.981840 69.372611
2025-04-27 0.767288 1.409343 2.664568 5.491641 12.307867 29.807236 86.140629
2025-05-04 0.724318 1.367733 2.669510 5.726620 13.495263 34.795409 109.736436
2025-05-11 0.673835 1.303510 2.616418 5.816058 14.339217 39.148754 133.948350
2025-05-18 0.632114 1.251499 2.581023 5.940230 15.313399 44.276341 164.656595
2025-05-25 0.581942 1.175008 2.479866 5.880324 15.757479 47.919085 192.034444
2025-06-01 0.547869 1.129166 2.441745 5.976220 16.693159 53.625744 233.442076
2025-06-08 0.507766 1.065001 2.351508 5.915038 17.131713 57.768131 270.933964
2025-06-15 0.473651 1.010487 2.277025 5.883883 17.665060 62.538198 316.527512
2025-06-22 0.438197 0.948905 2.176990 5.761350 17.862705 66.088200 358.818831
2025-06-29 0.417166 0.919110 2.153157 5.859942 18.872433 73.604441 435.293822
2025-07-06 0.386747 0.863390 2.055265 5.715470 18.959325 77.074222 488.103895